I consider myself to be an Amateur weather forecaster. I’ve been studying and learning how to read weather models since I was 13 years old. I created this blog in order to publish my weather forecasts so that myself, and others can test my accuracy. I love nothing more than to be able to nail a forecast accurately from several weeks out, however if I feel a forecast I have published was not accurate, I will hold my hands up and admit it was a poor forecast. I’ve been interested in different types of weather my entire life, I particularly love thunderstorms and snow, so whenever these two are likely I get my forecasting head on and I’ve been known to spend entire days looking at all the various weather models, looking at latest observations and just taking in as much information as possible before I issue a forecast.
I’m particularly interested in Long Term Forecasting because I consider it to be a challenge and its always nice when you see your hard work pay off. All forecasts published on this blog are my own person views as a result of studying various weather models and pressure systems to come up with my own personal forecasts. My views do not represent any major weather organisation and therefore you use my forecasts at your own risk.
If you wish to get in touch with me for whatever reason, please feel free to comment on one of my blog posts with a question and be sure to leave a valid email in the email box so that I can get back to you with my answer. Constructive criticism is encouraged. However any person attacks will be deleted.
Have you any advise on how to read a forecast for sailing
Unfortunately, sailing forecasts aren’t my expertise so I can’t help you, although the BBC do have a very useful shipping forecast page.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/coast_and_sea/shipping_forecast/
I hope that helps
when is your next update on winter 2011/12?
Hi Daniel – just wanted to say keep up the good work. I do enjoy getting your updates as you don’t simply “tell” – you “explain”. I had a very canny grandmother who could literally sniff the air and forecast the weather and jolly good she was too. I think I may have found her substitute!
Thanks Kerry, I appreciate that!
Hello Daniel AKA WMD.
You’ve got a very interesting Blog here, Daniel. It’s good to see another UK blogger out there. Come visit my blog, if you’re at all interested.
Cheers
Tony William Powell
aka gottolovethisweather on netweather.tv
Hi Daniel,
Its great to read about weather forecasting and meteorology from the point of view of an amateur and explained in such a simplified manner. As far as long term weather forecasting, I think http://www.wunderground.com/ provides best information about it.
Keep up the good work!
Cheers,
Mark
This blog is awesome. Not only is it interesting, its informative and very easy to read, and I found it when I was looking for a site that explains how snow is forecast. (I just love snow…I know sad). Keep it up
Are we every going to get a summer ? April was lousy and if the weather forecast is accurate, May 2012 will be another cold, miserable month. We haven’t had a good summer for years ! Please cheer me up, make my day
Hi Angela,
Unfortunately, the Long Range forecasting models don’t look too promising for the summer at the moment, May does indeed look likely to continue the cool, showery theme and looking at the CFS Pressure Anomaly Charts, there’s no real sign of any real, sustained warmth to come this summer
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/glbz700Mon.gif
Whether they’ll be accurate or not is yet to be seen. One positive factor is that more often than not, cold, wet Aprils are followed by warmer summers.