Three Day Outlook – More Snowfall

December 19, 2010

Weather Forecasts


In the last week or so I’ve generally neglected to look further ahead than 1-2 days due to the amount of uncertainty in the forecast and within the models, whilst this uncertainty does continue, and indeed large changes can and do take place beyond a three day outlook in a setup like this, there is the continued risk for some very severe, disruptive snowfall across some parts of the United Kingdom. Please keep in mind that this is more of a guide/outlook to whats likely in the coming three days and that changes to the forecast are very likely.

Monday looks likely to bring the next batch of snowfall pushing up into mainly South-Western areas, the extend in which is extent of this snowfall is still unclear, though it seems reasonable to suggest South-West England, Southern parts of Wales and perhaps Central Southern England will be at risk from the snowfall with accumulations in the range of 4-8cm, locally higher. A slight shift could see this snowfall extending across South-Eastern areas.

Tuesdays snow risk extends across much of Wales where further accumulations of 5-10cm seem possible, this will be falling on top of deep snowfall and ice so some very dangerous conditions are likely here on Tuesday. South-Western areas look likely to see more of a mixture of rain, sleet and snow as this system pushes in. Snow showers likely to affect Eastern Scotland through the day.

Wednesday remains very, very uncertain at this stage however there are indications which suggest heavy, disruptive snowfall could move in across the South-East and up into East Anglia,  depending on how far North this system goes depends on what falls out of the sky, at the moment the models show this to be a snow turning to rain event as slightly less cold air pushes up with this system, but as I say, theres a lot of uncertainty with this and a slight change in the tracking could produce an all snow event.

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7 Comments on “Three Day Outlook – More Snowfall”

  1. Snow mad Says:

    What are the chances of Boston Lincs seeing some snow this time

    Reply

  2. john Says:

    how long do you think cold can last before breakdown comes and can you see any reload in jan

    Reply

  3. Daniel Smith Says:

    Boston Lincs could see some snowfall, but certainly not in the next couple of days I wouldn’t have thought.

    The models are continuing to show a breakdown occuring around Boxing Day, though there is a lot of uncertainty about this so the cold could extend further. I’m expecting the cold weather to return (if there is a breakdown) around the 4th January, though certainly not as intense. I’d imagine from the middle of January onwards out winter weather will return to near “normal”

    Reply

  4. Dean Says:

    Any snow in Wilmslow

    Reply

  5. Daniel Smith Says:

    There is an area of snow currently heading North, the Northern extend is unknown since that system was pretty much unforecasted, so it’s possible.

    Reply

  6. Dean Says:

    Thanks, I hope we do get another coating as we have only had a few flurries giving around four cms

    Reply

  7. Dean Says:

    Still no snow

    Reply

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