Through tonight and into the early hours of tomorrow morning an area of heavy snowfall looks likely to develop across the Midlands. Just a couple of days ago this snowfall looked likely to affect South-Eastern areas of England however this risk has extended further North in recent model outputs.

Accumulations in the affected areas (as seen from the images below) are likely to be in the region of 5-10cm, though 15cm is likely in worst affected areas and across higher ground. Beyond that things look to settle down with high pressure developing over the United Kingdom. There is a risk of some light snow showers across South-Eastern parts of England and North-Western parts of Scotland through Thursday, though these are not expected to cause disruption, I’ll be monitoring the situation and will issue an update if this changes.

Christmas day is looking generally dry, cold frosty and foggy across much of the United Kingdom thanks to high pressure, so if you’ve made a bet for snowfall on Christmas day, it’s now looking increasingly unlikely. Any where that still has snow come Wednesday evening will probably see that snowfall remain on the ground until at least boxing day.

There’s no real sign of a breakdown to this cold showing on the models. But certainly over the next few days our focus turns away from snow and more towards fog and frost.