I mentioned in an article before Christmas that there was a chance the colder weather would return as we move into the new year after a brief “milder” spell of weather between the Christmas and New Year period. I’ve been looking at the computer models and there does seem to be growing support for a re-newed surge of cold air.

A fairly weak area of high pressure currently sat over the United Kingdom bringing the slightly milder, settled and foggy conditions will begin to edge North-West once again towards Greenland as we go through the New Year weekend and into next week, this will allow colder air to begin to filter back Southwards across the United Kingdom. You can see from the chart below that there is relatively good support within the Ensembles for a drop in temperatures around that period.

What happens beyond the New Year weekend is unknown at the moment, there are signs that it will be a generally short lived cold spell compared to the one we’ve just experienced, however at the beginning of that one it was looking short lived before the models continued to upgrade the length of the cold spell and there’s no reason why that couldn’t happen this time.

As things currently stand, Northern and Eastern areas are likely to see snow showers as we move into the new year, elsewhere generally dry, bright but feeling much colder. There are not any indications to suggest significant snowfall at the moment but things can and do change.

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