Before I get started, I’m by no means certain on this, and in fact, confidence is fairly low. I did mention in my winter forecast that November is likely to be rather cold with widespread snow thanks to a blocked weather pattern. Today, the latest upstream patterns are starting to hint more strongly at High Pressure developing towards the North of the United Kingdom as we move into the later part of October and through into November.
Generally at this time of year, the near continent isn’t cold enough to bring snow and cold in from the East, however if Northern Blocking does become established in November, cold air quickly floods across Europe, eventually reaching the UK. It’s definitely one to keep an eye on in the coming few weeks.
My Official Winter Forecast will be issued on October 23rd.