Turning Unsettled, Less Mild

November 21, 2011


I mentioned a couple of days ago that as we head towards the end of this week, Low Pressure will start to bring spells of wet and windy weather to the United Kingdom, this now looks increasingly likely. Todays models are projecting High Pressure to develop in the Western Atlantic which will allow Low Pressure systems to circulate around the United Kingdom bringing spells of wet and windy weather to just about all.

High Pressure to the South-East of the United Kingdom will keep Southern and Eastern areas drier for a time, but even here it’s likely that we’re going to see some rainfall. The 500MB computer models continue to project Low Heights across the United Kingdom and to our North.

Due to the tracking of these Low Pressure systems, it’s likely that we’ll see some Polar Maritime incursions to, and this will bring temperatures back down to the seasonal average and may bring some snowfall from time to time across the Scottish Mountains, perhaps even down to lower ground at times across the North, although at this stage that seems unlikely.

Looking further afield, I think we’ll see a continuation of this cooler, wetter and windier weather as we move through into December, there is still no clear indication of a cold and snowy spell, even as we move into December, however as ever this is subject to change.



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8 Comments on “Turning Unsettled, Less Mild”

  1. kevin bennion Says:

    Hi just to say i enjoy your forecasts and i think you are reasonably accurate with your predictions. I for one hope we have a mild winter as those heating bills will be easier to cope with! Just a quick mention about the abuse you have received,dont stop your forecast and perhaps these morons will do everybody a favour and get lost!! Its a fact of todays society im afraid.Keep forecasting and i will keep looking.


  2. Daniel Smith Says:

    Thanks Kevin!

    I definitely wont stop forecasting, all they’re doing is driving traffic to my blog which suits me!


  3. Jenny Says:

    It is still going to be HOT as you forecast Dan?


    • Daniel Smith Says:

      Hi Jenny, I’m not entirely sure what you mean by that, but as per the post above, temperatures are likely to become more seasonal as we move towards the weekend and through into next week πŸ™‚



  4. Sarah Kendall Says:

    Hello Daniel,

    I regularly read your posts and find them interesting, thoughtful and intelligent – and I wanted to say thank you for sharing them online. It’s a fascinating and complex topic and I have learnt a lot from you. Keeping an eye on the weather has become much easier for me to understand – and more enjoyable – thanks to your blog πŸ™‚


  5. Stuart Thompson Says:

    Hi Daniel,

    Disappointed that you have had to put a notice up with regards to the mindless few whom feel it is appropriate to insult you on something you do as a hobby. I personnally think you are doing a grand job with your long term forecasting which very few opt to do due to the inaccrucy of such forecasts and when you do get them wrong you are the first to put your hands up and say ‘I got it wrong’ and then you proceed to explain exactly why it was wrong. Daniel ignore these arrogant and rude people and keep up the great work you are doing.
    Kind regards,


  6. Harry Says:

    The good thing is, despite the little bit of minor inaccuracies these last few weeks, you have been one of the most accurate πŸ˜›
    Lots of professionals have called for far worse than you for November.


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