The Coming Days – Snow Prospects

February 1, 2012

Weather Forecasts


Unless you’ve been living under a very warm rock for the last few days there’s no denying just how cold it’s been feeling across the United Kingdom, through the course of today we’ve seen some fairly strong winds across East Anglia and the South-East making things feel particularly raw, though there has been a lot of sunshine around so that’s something.

As we go through the next couple of days though we are likely to see some snowfall developing, firstly lets take a look at a High Resolution model called the NAE to see where snowfall is predicted to fall through Thursday and indeed Friday.

NAE Model showing Thursdays snow risk

NAE Model showing Fridays Snow Risk

The above two charts show that there is indeed a risk of snowfall moving into parts of Eastern England and East Anglia through Thursday and Friday, these charts have been known to slightly under do the snow risk though, so I think through Thursday and Friday there’s always the risk of these snow showers being slightly more widespread than the above charts show, however anything more than a localised 1-2cm isn’t expected. Click the map below to see how high your chances of seeing snowfall are through Thursday and Friday only

Thursday & Friday Snow Risk map

Note: The above is to be taken as a general guide and is based on latest model outputs, an update may be issued for Friday if there are any changes within the models through the course of tomorrow. 1-2cm possible in exposed locations.

Through Saturday and into Sunday a huge amount of uncertainty appears due to divergence within the models, some models want to bring milder air in fairly quickly producing a short period of snowfall which turns to rain, other models continue to forecast the colder air hanging on, particularly in Eastern areas giving a more prolonged period of snowfall which is making the forecast very difficult. I am issuing an early warning and snow risk map below, please note this is highly subject to change in the coming days due to huge uncertainty and should be taken as a guide only.

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