I’ve been posting frequent cold weather updates over the past two weeks and now we’re getting closer to the time frame where colder weather will be pushing in I thought it was about time to begin forecasting what I expect to happen. As always there’s a lot of uncertainty in the forecast so don’t expect it to be 100% accurate on the specific details.

Between Wednesday and Friday temperatures will begin to drop off significantly across the UK with daytime maximums between 2c in the North to around 4/5c in the South, temperatures widely below freezing at night so frosts are likely to become increasing widespread.

I don’t think we’re going to see too much of an issue with snowfall just yet, through the weekend we may start to see a few snow flurries effecting Northern and Eastern parts but I think these are likely to be fairly isolated and not really amounting to very much.

Through Monday models are keen to bring in an area of low pressure from the West, details are very uncertain about this but there is a chance for some snowfall along the leading edge as it progresses slowly Eastwards. Northern and Eastern areas most at risk from seeing any snowfall from this system. However as I say, details are very uncertain as the tracking of the system will mean the difference between an all rain event, or a more widespread snowfall event so I’ll keep you updated on that.

As the low pushes in, less cold air will push up into Southern and Western areas but I think this is likely to be temporary as colder air will return towards the middle of next week and perhaps beyond.