Click Image to view Snow Watch
Click Image to view Snow Watch

The headline in the last couple of days has been for snowfall. Most of the snow has been towards the North and East of the country and I think that’ll be the continuing theme as we head towards the weekend. There is a chance we could see some snowfall to areas further South but there’s a lot of uncertainty over this and will need monitoring closer to the time. I’m also keeping a close eye on the possibility of another frontal transient snowfall risk for Thursday night and into Friday. If you’d like to keep fully up to date on the developments then “like” our Facebook page, updates on current events are often posted there. Facebook Page

The overall trend beyond this week is for temperatures to remain on the cooler side of average bar one or two brief milder blips as low pressure pushes through.  The two charts below are the NCEP height anomalies and these show just how blocked our weather is likely to become over the next two weeks with high pressure to our North and East.

NCEP 6-10 Day Height Anomaly
NCEP 6-10 Day Height Anomaly
NCEP 10-14 Day Height Anomaly Chart
NCEP 10-14 Day Height Anomaly Chart

Next we’ll take a look at both the GFS & ECM Ensemble Mean, they’re both in fairly good agreement for a blocking area of high pressure across Scandinavia giving us a cool continental airflow. The surface details on the two models are different but overall both show cold weather.

GFS Ensemble Mean
GFS Ensemble Mean
ECM Ensemble Mean
ECM Ensemble Mean

The long term trend continues then to be one of cold in the long term with very little sign of anything mild in the outputs.

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