We’re now officially into Spring but it seems someone hasn’t told the weather. The computer models have been churning out some very cold looking charts and confidence is now growing for a cold and snowy spell of weather as we move into next week, perhaps the snowiest we’ve seen all winter.
The charts, whilst not in complete agreement on the exact placement of weather systems are singing from the same sheet, it will be turning colder as we go into next week and some areas are likely to see some snowfall, pin pointing these areas at this range though isn’t possible.
The GFS and ECM are in somewhat agreement with each other offering up a cold, convective Easterly bringing plenty of snow showers to many areas.
The NAVGEM also agrees with this outlook to a degree, although the snow showers perhaps less widespread on this model.
The UKMO turns things cold, but due to the placement of high pressure many areas would remain dry with only the far South seeing snowfall potential.
Given the above, I’d be wary to forecast widespread heavy snowfall at this stage, however as always with an Easterly the highest risk of snowfall will be in the South and East. Disagreements over exact placement of pressure systems is causing some headaches with where the worst of the snowfall is likely to be and that’s something that will need to be monitored in the coming days.
We can be sure that the current milder weather isn’t going to last, though and it’ll feel more like winter than Spring come next week.
The chart below shows the current snow risk thoughts, it’s likely to change in the coming days.